Proceedings of the International Conference on Modern Medicine and Global Health (ICMMGH 2023)
Series Vol. 6
, 03 August 2023
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Research on British epidemic forecast——Based on SIR model
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Theoretical and Natural Science, Vol. 6,
Published 03 August 2023. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA
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Citation Chaoyu Zhang. Research on British epidemic forecast——Based on SIR model. TNS (2023) Vol. 6: 35-38. DOI: 10.54254/2753-8818/6/20230135.
Since the beginning of 2020, COVID-19 has swept the world and continues to threaten human society. Forecasting the future trend of the epidemics is very important for the prevention of COVID-19. The SIR model is an important mathematical model to forecast future epidemic in epidemiology. In a press conference from London on July 5th, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson said the British government will end nearly all of the coronavirus restrictions starting July 19. This paper aims to use the SIR model to predict epidemics after deregulation of social distance. The results show that as of July 8, 2021, the number of people infected will continue to increase after deregulation, reaching approximately 30000 per day. The British government should reconsider completely liberalizing epidemic control.
SIR, Covid-19, microbiological transmission, UK, government control
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The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available
from the authors upon reasonable request.
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- Volume Title
- Proceedings of the International Conference on Modern Medicine and Global Health (ICMMGH 2023)
- ISBN (Print)
- ISBN (Online)
- Published Date
- 03 August 2023
- Theoretical and Natural Science
- ISSN (Print)
- ISSN (Online)
- © 2023 The Author(s)
- Open Access
- This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and
conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which
permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium,
provided the original work is properly cited