Theoretical and Natural Science

- The Open Access Proceedings Series for Conferences


Theoretical and Natural Science

Vol. 39, 21 June 2024


Open Access | Article

Applications of three distinct regression models in GDP predication

Tiankai Duan * 1 , Wenbo Niu 2 , Dehan Zang 3
1 Lanzhou University
2 Qingdao No. 19 high school
3 Qingdao No. 58 high school

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Theoretical and Natural Science, Vol. 39, 86-95
Published 21 June 2024. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA Publishing
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Citation Tiankai Duan, Wenbo Niu, Dehan Zang. Applications of three distinct regression models in GDP predication. TNS (2024) Vol. 39: 86-95. DOI: 10.54254/2753-8818/39/20240592.

Abstract

This paper introduces the basic theory and formula of linear regression, multiple linear regression, and nonlinear regression. Linear regression is one of the commonly used analysis methods in statistical analysis, which can predict the trend of model data change to a certain extent. Multiple linear regression involves more variables to predict and analyze the change trend of data, and can predict the change of data more accurately. Nonlinear regression can predict the model of arbitrary relationship between variables, thus obtaining more accurate prediction data. In the selection of regression analysis method, data characteristics and problem background should be considered, and model assumptions and validation should be paid attention to ensure accuracy and reliability. In the applications, the paper discusses the application of simple linear regression to Okun’s law and delves into the complex relationship between multiple variables and gross domestic product (GDP). Finally, it uses nonlinear regression equations to analyze the global inflation rate and the annual data, and proves that there is a nonlinear relationship between the two and a downward trend, which is supported by analyzing the data of Australia and Canada.

Keywords

linear regression, multiple linear regression, nonlinear regression, Okun’s law

References

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2. Yahia, A. K. (2018). Estimation of Okun Coefficient for Algeria. International Journal of Youth Economy, 2(1), 1-16.

3. Adenomon, M. O., & Tela, M. N. (2017). Application of Okun’s law to developing economies: a case study of Nigeria. Journal of Natural and Applied Sciences, 5(2), 12-20.

4. McCarthy D W, Probst R C, Low F J. (1985). Infrared detection of a close cool companion to Van Biesbroeck. Astrophysical Journal, 290, L9-L13.

5. Guo W. (2022). Gravitational wave detection of black hole rendezvous. Progress in Astronomy, 40(3), 382-393.

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7. Yang, Ke, Tian, Feng-ping, Lin, Hong. (2013). Research on International Co-movement in Global Inflation: A Study Based on Bayesian Dynamic Latent Factor Model. International trade issues, 6, 145-156.

8. Pang Zhen,Wang Kai. (2018). An empirical analysis of the nonlinear effect of inflation on China’s economic growth. Statistics and decision, 10,123-126.

9. Liu, Tie-Ying, Lee, Chien-Chiang. (2021). Global convergence of inflation rates. North American journal of economics and finance, 58, 101501.

10. Ciccarelli, M., Mojon, B. (2010). Global Inflation. Review of Economics and Statistics, 92, 524-535.

Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Mathematical Physics and Computational Simulation
ISBN (Print)
978-1-83558-463-7
ISBN (Online)
978-1-83558-464-4
Published Date
21 June 2024
Series
Theoretical and Natural Science
ISSN (Print)
2753-8818
ISSN (Online)
2753-8826
DOI
10.54254/2753-8818/39/20240592
Copyright
21 June 2024
Open Access
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Copyright © 2023 EWA Publishing. Unless Otherwise Stated