Theoretical and Natural Science

- The Open Access Proceedings Series for Conferences


Theoretical and Natural Science

Vol. 5, 25 May 2023


Open Access | Article

Prediction of the Winning Rate of Athlete Ma Long——Based on Probability Theory

Qilin You * 1
1 School of Shanghai North America International School, Shanghai, China, 201104

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Theoretical and Natural Science, Vol. 5, 192-195
Published 25 May 2023. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA Publishing
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Citation Qilin You. Prediction of the Winning Rate of Athlete Ma Long——Based on Probability Theory. TNS (2023) Vol. 5: 192-195. DOI: 10.54254/2753-8818/5/20230389.

Abstract

Today, probability theory is becoming more and more useful in our daily life, and it is used more often in sports, especially in table tennis. As a well-known table tennis player from China, Ma Long is an experienced player in table tennis. The data from this study is mainly from @tingwalker who was famous for statistical table tennis data. This paper uses the probability theory to find the effects of the win rate of Ma Long as well as calculate the actual rate, including the effects we have to consider. It is more accurate than just considering the win rate of each competition or looking at the total winning rate of Ma Long. With the help of probability theory, the paper considers factors that affect Malone's winning rate, such as competition system, different players, independent events, and miss rate. Finally, it can be concluded that Ma Long's winning rate against Zhang Jike is as high as 78%~82%.

Keywords

Table tennis, probability theory, competition prediction.

References

1. Yu Yueli, Hu Hui. Application of Calculus Method in Probability Theory Teaching [J]. Science and Education Guide, 2022, No.494(26): 46-48.DOI: 10.16400/j.cnki.kjdk.2022.26.015.

2. @tingwalker, 2021, https://www.douban.com/group/topic/247113676/?_i=5759158ikOjU6r

3. Wapner Leonard M. Probability: a questionable science of the uncertain[J]. The Mathematical Gazette, 2022, 106(567) : 458-466.

4. Brychkov Yu. A. and Savischenko N.V. Some properties of multiple hypergeometric functions and their applications in probability theory [J]. Lobachevskii Journal of Mathematics, 2022, 43 (7): 1813-1831.

5. From CCTV.COM. 2016/8/12. 9:20 http://2016.cctv.com/2016/08/12/ARTIuLu4hcHijknXa2vlegHq160812.shtml

6. Bougoffa Lazhar and Krasopoulos Panagiotis T.. Integral inequalities in probability theory revisited[J]. The Mathematical Gazette, 2021, 105(563) : 263-270.

Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Computing Innovation and Applied Physics (CONF-CIAP 2023)
ISBN (Print)
978-1-915371-53-9
ISBN (Online)
978-1-915371-54-6
Published Date
25 May 2023
Series
Theoretical and Natural Science
ISSN (Print)
2753-8818
ISSN (Online)
2753-8826
DOI
10.54254/2753-8818/5/20230389
Copyright
25 May 2023
Open Access
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Copyright © 2023 EWA Publishing. Unless Otherwise Stated