Theoretical and Natural Science

- The Open Access Proceedings Series for Conferences


Theoretical and Natural Science

Vol. 30, 24 January 2024


Open Access | Article

Statistical forecasting of U.S. and Central African Republic net migration

Tianqing Bei * 1 , Hanlei Gao 2 , Ruiyang Gao 3 , Guangtong Shi 4
1 Rutgers University
2 The British School Al Khubairat
3 Weifang No.1 Middle School
4 Shanghai Shangde Experimental School

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Theoretical and Natural Science, Vol. 30, 59-64
Published 24 January 2024. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA Publishing
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Citation Tianqing Bei, Hanlei Gao, Ruiyang Gao, Guangtong Shi. Statistical forecasting of U.S. and Central African Republic net migration. TNS (2024) Vol. 30: 59-64. DOI: 10.54254/2753-8818/30/20241029.

Abstract

Immigration is a very important link in the current international society. This paper will study and predict the net immigration of the United States and the Central African Republic through two different models- drift model and ARIMA model, and to further explore the trends and influencing factors of migration between these countries. The results show that from 1960 to 2021, net migration from the United States and the Central African Republic showed very different trends. The United States, as a developed country, attracts a large number of immigrants from all over the world, while the Central African Republic, as a developing country, the flow of immigrants is mainly affected by economic, political and social factors in the region. Therefore, it can be seen that developing countries and developed countries have different impacts on the number of immigrants. This study provides a basis for further understanding of population migration and net migration of United States and Central African Republic.

Keywords

Net migration, migration, United States, Central African Republic, statistics

References

1. Paul W S 2001 An Overview and Critique of US Immigration and Asylum Policies in the Trump Era. Journal on Migration and Human Security, 3.

2. Baumann R, Svec J and Sanzari F 2015 The Relationship between Net Migration and Unemployment: The Role of Expectations. Eastern Economic Journal, 41(3), 443–458.

3. Nguyen H T 2019 The Effect of Health Environment on Migration Flows. Migration Letters, 4.

4. Lieberson S 1980 The Interpretation of Net Migration Rates. Sociological Methodology, 11, 176–190.

5. Liu B 1975 Differential Net Migration Rates and the Quality of Life. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 57(3), 329–337.

6. Boustan L P, Fishback P V and Kantor S 2010 The Effect of Internal Migration on Local Labor Markets: American Cities during the Great Depression. Journal of Labor Economics, 28(4), 719–746.

7. Johnson K M, Curtis K J and Egan-Robertson D 2017 Frozen in Place: Net Migration in sub-National Areas of the United States in the Era of the Great Recession. Population and Development Review, 43(4), 599–623.

8. Kisangani E F 2015 Social Cleavages and Politics of Exclusion: Instability in the Central African Republic. International Journal on World Peace, 32(1), 33–59.

9. Fafore O A 2016 The African Union and Peace and Security in Central Africa. Journal of African Union Studies, 5(2), 51–66.

10. Huggins C 2022 Land, High-Value Natural Resources, and Conflict in the Central African Republic. University of Toronto Press.

Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. Authors who publish this series agree to the following terms:

1. Authors retain copyright and grant the series right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this series.

2. Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the series's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this series.

3. Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See Open Access Instruction).

Volume Title
Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Computing Innovation and Applied Physics
ISBN (Print)
978-1-83558-283-1
ISBN (Online)
978-1-83558-284-8
Published Date
24 January 2024
Series
Theoretical and Natural Science
ISSN (Print)
2753-8818
ISSN (Online)
2753-8826
DOI
10.54254/2753-8818/30/20241029
Copyright
24 January 2024
Open Access
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Copyright © 2023 EWA Publishing. Unless Otherwise Stated